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Articles
Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category AutoNation,AN,Detroit,Auto & Truck Manufacturers,Automobiles,Auto retailing
The retailer of both new and used cars is well positioned to capture profits as the market shifts rapidly given the new macro conditions.

With rising costs and stiff competition hammering margins on used vehicles, the company has shifted its attention to new-car sales which offer a better earni…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Budweiser,1876,Beverages,Distillers & Wineries
Budweiser is a particularly strong brand in Asia. On the back of a hot summer, 3rd quarter results are expected to reflect this. We expect that the company will further benefit in the 4th quarter given that a number of sellers need to perform some urgent restocking to go into the next season.

W…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category China Resources,1109,Real Estate Operations,Real Estate Rental,Development & Operations
Sales are likely to recover later this year as we expect the Chinese property market to have reached the bottom on the back of a few bankruptcy proceedings.

The consensus forecast suggests that projected purchases will grow by 20% this and next year. While not all projected sales will materiali…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Enagas,ENAG,Energy,Oil & Gas Related Equipment and Services,Oil & Gas Transportation Services
With the aim to raise cash, ENG is expected to sell its US-based gas exploration which is required given the worsening conditions in the local market.

While most of the bad news is in the market, aka dividend cut (50 % lower), plus the potential exit of the next generation hydrogen project, any…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Futu Holdings,FUTU,On-line broking,FinTech
Accelerating business conditions spell above-average volume and business opportunities for the Hong Kong-based online broker.

Rising interest rates, new customer acquisition projects for China mainland, and an extension into Malaysia open the avenue for above-average quarterly results. For 202…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Keurig Dr Pepper,KDP,Beverages,Non-Alcoholic Beverages,Coffee & soft drinks
During the oncoming reporting season, the company is expected to report above-average growth in profits for its coffee business.
That occurs on the fact that many retailers restarted their business after the pandemic closure and more importantly, the company’s iconic K-Cups and brewing machines g…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Software,Pegasystems,PEGA,Software & IT Services
The provider of CRM software provider is appealing a $2 billion jury award to competitor Appian related to Pegasystems’ alleged theft of trade secrets.

Based on comparative and precedent analysis, it can be expected the award could be largely reversed and possibly overturned completely. We expe…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Societe Generale,SGON,French Banks
The recent weakness of the share price occurred on the back of a decision to boost its capital buffer means its dividends and stock buybacks will likely undershoot consensus. This is compounded by weak results from its investment bank, which has lost market share to global peers, and earnings momen…
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category TeliaSonera,TELIA,Telecommunications Services,Integrated Telecommunications Services
The lackluster outlook for Telia is expected to enter its final stage. While we expect one or two more cash flow misses, the new CEO is expected to implement a new restructuring plan and scale back on some operations and exit loss-making units which be start of the turnaround.
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Wednesday, October 4, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category VAT,VACN,Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment,Industrial Machinery & Equipment,Robotics,Automation
VAT specializes in high-vacuum valves that are integral to semiconductor manufacturing and hence the company is a direct beneficiary of the chip cycle being fueled by the growing needs of AI and cloud computing. This new cycle goes beyond the previous robotics and automation trend.

Data suggest…
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Thursday, September 14, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category ARM,IPO,Chips,NVDA,SoftBank,Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
The issue price was fixed at USD 51.- while the market was expecting, given the 12x oversubscription, a price outside the range price, i.e. at USD 52.-. Given this, the company valuation is at $54.5 billion. ARM’s IPO is the fifth-largest operation in the tech sector, behind behemoths such as Faceb…
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Wednesday, September 13, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category ARM,IPO,Chips,Processors,AI,Datacenters,Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
The pricing range is to be expected in the region of USD 51.- a share.

Arm Holdings Ltd.’s initial public offering is already oversubscribed by 5 times and bankers stopped taking orders, according to people familiar with the matter.

ARM is the biggest initial public offering in nearly two …
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Valeo,VLOF,Credit,HR,France,Auto,Truck & Motorcycle Parts
Valeo reported a significant increase in revenues, rising by 19% YoY, in their 1H 2023 report. The company’s balance sheet will benefit from meaningful deleveraging to 1.5x via its €500mn disposal plan over the next year.
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category LHAG,Airlines,Germany
Lufthansa reported very solid Q2 results, with revenues up by 17% YoY, supported by high travel demand and strong pricing. Thanks to a better operating leverage, EBITDA for the quarter reached €1.6bn (+75% YoY).
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Tuesday, September 12, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category RENA,France,Auto & Truck Manufacturers
Renault’s 1H 2023 results showed a rebound in production rates, strong pricing, and both margins and free cash flow moving to cycle highs. Main drivers behind the strong result where the ongoing product offensive dovetailed with a leaner cost base
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Tuesday, September 5, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Novo Nordisk,NOVOb,Pharmaceuticals,Wegovy,LLY
Danish drugmaker Novo Nordisk A/S is skyrocketing on the back of strong demand for its blockbuster obesity medicines. The drug is sold cheaper than other treatments for obesity which gives Novo Nordisk ample market capacity.
 
The success of Novo’s Wegovy and Ozempic injectable drugs has sparked …
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Wednesday, August 23, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category DM,EM,China,Real estate,Equity Strategies,Investment outlook,Inflation,Secular growth trend
Every nation aims at providing its population the best possible framework so that citizen can prosper and generate welfare. There is synergistic, give and take, relationship between the government and its population as well as among citizen. This concept has best performed in liberal nations where …
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Friday, August 11, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category BRICS,China,Russia,Brazil,India,South Africa,USD,Energy transision,US governance,Euro,Geopolitics
Is the BRICS CCY replacing the US Dollar?
The BRICS nations, consisting of Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa, are aiming at the creation of a common currency to compete with the US Dollar. But how realistic is this project – Let’s get after it!
To start with and historically speaking…
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Sunday, August 6, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category Apple,AAPL,Phones & Handheld Devices,handset,iPhone,negative outlook
Is Apple entering uncharted territory? Once can say so as the company is hitting another unexpected obstacle. The company’s shares lost more than 4% after its quarterly earnings report was released. At the same time, this announcement dragged the entire market lower on the back that the tech boom m…
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Sunday, August 6, 2023 by Christophe.Schmid|Comment closed
within category AI,OpenAI ChatGPT,Risk management,UBER,AMD,TSM,NVDA,PSON,Consumer Publishing,ADBE,Software
Discussions about Chatbots connected to AI have taken an unexpected time-out. Some companies have banned tools like ChatGPT citing information security concerns, whereas others have gone all-in on generative AI.
Amongst the ones who have gone all-in are money managers (Asset Managers and Hedge Fu…
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